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Red255
582839.3
445966.7
2974129.1
Blue135
563274.3
584025.4
584841.3
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2261110200300400255135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
129.13.7
115.2118.9
Auto15.4
Teleop51.8
End61.9
red by 54.8
74.30.9
55.055.9
Auto6.7
Teleop39.5
End28.1
Second
4459
#13
66.73.7
46.850.5
Auto5.1
Teleop37.8
End23.8
red by 25.4
5848
#24
41.30.9
34.435.3
Auto4.9
Teleop26.9
End9.5
Third
5828
#30
39.33.7
36.940.7
Auto7.0
Teleop24.0
End8.2
red by 13.8
5840
#32
25.40.9
31.632.5
Auto2.0
Teleop16.0
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed