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Red185
634933.4
510971.8
553672.9
Blue235
563274.3
4941106.3
332970.8
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1522020100300400185235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5536
#11
72.92.2
56.658.9
Auto8.7
Teleop33.9
End30.3
blue by 33.4
106.33.3
90.093.4
Auto10.1
Teleop52.2
End44.0
Second
5109
#16
71.82.2
57.259.4
Auto7.2
Teleop35.9
End28.6
blue by 2.5
74.33.3
57.961.2
Auto6.7
Teleop39.5
End28.1
Third
6349
#27
33.42.2
37.539.7
Auto4.6
Teleop25.0
End3.9
blue by 37.4
70.83.3
37.440.7
Auto6.9
Teleop32.4
End31.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed