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Red115
521958.1
424041.3
553672.9
Blue155
4189100.6
507467.1
634933.4
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions166197050100250300350400115155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5536
#11
72.93.2
64.361.1
Auto8.7
Teleop33.9
End30.3
blue by 27.7
100.61.9
94.892.9
Auto13.4
Teleop45.8
End41.5
Second
5219
#15DQ
58.13.2
57.554.3
Auto7.2
Teleop36.4
End14.4
blue by 9.0
67.11.9
55.153.2
Auto10.5
Teleop41.4
End15.2
Third
4240
#28
41.33.2
40.537.4
Auto6.0
Teleop26.3
End9.0
red by 7.8
6349
#27
33.41.9
33.631.7
Auto4.6
Teleop25.0
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed