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Red210
675027.4
4189100.6
563274.3
Blue255
4941106.3
408076.2
671442.2
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20724650100150300350400450210255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
100.60.2
100.5100.6
Auto13.4
Teleop45.8
End41.5
blue by 5.7
106.30.6
107.4108.0
Auto10.1
Teleop52.2
End44.0
Second
74.30.2
74.174.3
Auto6.7
Teleop39.5
End28.1
blue by 1.9
76.20.6
77.377.9
Auto9.8
Teleop37.0
End29.4
Third
6750
#19
27.40.2
27.227.4
Auto4.7
Teleop19.3
End3.4
blue by 14.8
6714
#29
42.20.7
43.444.1
Auto7.8
Teleop30.6
End3.8