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Red213
507483.9
4941115.1
174699.5
Blue205
4188115.4
100290.6
411290.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions329324250300350400213205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
115.12.0
117.0115.0
Auto12.3
Teleop53.4
End49.5
blue by 0.3
115.42.3
118.6116.4
Auto8.4
Teleop55.5
End51.5
Second
1746
#18
99.52.0
101.499.4
Auto11.6
Teleop51.6
End36.3
red by 8.8
4112
#20
90.82.3
94.091.8
Auto13.6
Teleop40.3
End36.9
Third
5074
#17
83.92.0
85.783.7
Auto12.2
Teleop49.1
End22.6
blue by 6.7
90.62.3
93.891.6
Auto9.9
Teleop45.8
End34.9