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Red446
418999.0
3635112.7
2974125.0
Blue237
451683.7
6340106.5
141474.0
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions399270100200300500600446237

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125.00.1
130.1130.1
Auto14.9
Teleop52.5
End57.6
red by 18.5
106.50.8
107.6106.8
Auto8.1
Teleop48.7
End49.7
Second
112.70.1
117.9117.8
Auto7.9
Teleop50.6
End54.2
red by 29.0
4516
#11
83.70.8
84.884.0
Auto6.2
Teleop45.6
End32.0
Third
4189
#24
99.00.1
101.2101.1
Auto12.2
Teleop41.1
End45.7
red by 25.1
1414
#16
74.00.8
75.074.2
Auto11.3
Teleop39.8
End22.8