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Quarterfinal 4-12017 Peachtree State Championship
Red390
411290.8
100290.6
4188115.4
Blue305
4910100.7
602384.3
402683.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions337276100200300400500390305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4188
#7
115.40.4
119.9→119.4
Auto8.4
Teleop55.5
End51.5
red by 14.6
4910
#10
100.70.8
100.2→101.1
Auto10.6
Teleop48.8
End41.3
Second
4112
#20
90.80.4
95.3→94.8
Auto13.6
Teleop40.3
End36.9
red by 6.5
6023
#8
84.30.8
83.7→84.6
Auto10.0
Teleop40.0
End34.2
Third
1002
#3
90.60.4
95.0→94.6
Auto9.9
Teleop45.8
End34.9
red by 7.0
4026
#31
83.60.8
83.0→83.9
Auto10.0
Teleop41.5
End32.0