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Red195
177174.8
174699.5
358161.6
Blue185
513277.7
670587.6
590062.7
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25422350100150200300350400195185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1746
#18
99.52.8
105.5102.7
Auto11.6
Teleop51.6
End36.3
red by 12.0
6705
#12
87.62.1
93.090.9
Auto5.7
Teleop54.8
End27.1
Second
1771
#21
74.82.8
51.648.8
Auto12.0
Teleop33.2
End29.6
blue by 3.0
5132
#38
77.72.1
65.563.4
Auto5.0
Teleop37.5
End35.3
Third
3581
#37
61.62.8
80.477.5
Auto9.7
Teleop39.7
End12.2
blue by 1.1
5900
#36
62.72.1
57.655.5
Auto6.5
Teleop28.4
End27.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed