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Red196
358161.6
402683.6
445981.1
Blue287
507483.9
100290.6
529397.2
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2342580400600800196287

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4026
#31
83.62.0
77.775.7
Auto10.0
Teleop41.5
End32.0
blue by 13.6
5293
#27
97.23.0
99.4102.4
Auto8.6
Teleop45.1
End43.5
Second
4459
#32
81.12.0
70.768.7
Auto6.3
Teleop42.3
End32.6
blue by 9.4
90.63.0
80.683.5
Auto9.9
Teleop45.8
End34.9
Third
3581
#37
61.62.0
77.575.5
Auto9.7
Teleop39.7
End12.2
blue by 22.3
5074
#17
83.93.0
62.365.3
Auto12.2
Teleop49.1
End22.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsEarned1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed