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Red295
4188115.4
141474.0
402683.6
Blue235
617749.6
4910100.7
3635112.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions272264150200300350400450295235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
115.42.5
113.0115.5
Auto8.4
Teleop55.5
End51.5
red by 2.6
112.71.1
98.197.0
Auto7.9
Teleop50.6
End54.2
Second
4026
#31
83.62.5
80.783.2
Auto10.0
Teleop41.5
End32.0
blue by 17.2
4910
#10
100.71.1
94.193.0
Auto10.6
Teleop48.8
End41.3
Third
1414
#16
74.02.5
64.166.6
Auto11.3
Teleop39.8
End22.8
red by 24.4
6177
#44
49.61.1
59.658.5
Auto3.6
Teleop30.9
End15.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsEarned1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed