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Red195
83294.0
675039.9
177174.8
Blue205
168389.1
141474.0
573447.1
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1832110100300400500195205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
832
#6
94.01.1
93.194.3
Auto10.0
Teleop38.9
End45.2
red by 5.0
1683
#23
89.10.5
80.481.0
Auto8.8
Teleop41.9
End38.4
Second
1771
#21
74.81.1
56.157.3
Auto12.0
Teleop33.2
End29.6
red by 0.8
1414
#16
74.00.5
66.667.1
Auto11.3
Teleop39.8
End22.8
Third
6750
#43
39.91.1
28.629.7
Auto5.5
Teleop29.8
End4.6
blue by 7.2
5734
#41
47.10.5
50.150.6
Auto9.5
Teleop37.5
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed