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Red283
473051.6
4188115.4
131172.6
Blue275
100290.6
670587.6
141474.0
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions225264100150200300350400283275

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
115.44.3
119.0123.3
Auto8.4
Teleop55.5
End51.5
red by 24.8
90.62.0
84.986.9
Auto9.9
Teleop45.8
End34.9
Second
1311
#28
72.64.3
66.070.3
Auto6.4
Teleop29.0
End37.2
blue by 14.9
6705
#12
87.62.0
93.495.3
Auto5.7
Teleop54.8
End27.1
Third
4730
#29
51.64.3
33.938.2
Auto1.7
Teleop22.9
End27.0
blue by 22.4
1414
#16
74.02.0
67.169.1
Auto11.3
Teleop39.8
End22.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed2%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed