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Red245
533276.8
174699.5
141474.0
Blue235
529397.2
558266.5
560885.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions262261200220240280300320245235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1746
#18
99.50.2
95.194.9
Auto11.6
Teleop51.6
End36.3
red by 2.3
5293
#27
97.20.9
103.7102.8
Auto8.6
Teleop45.1
End43.5
Second
5332
#22
76.80.2
80.580.3
Auto5.4
Teleop33.7
End37.7
blue by 8.3
5608
#33
85.10.9
80.579.6
Auto11.5
Teleop36.7
End36.9
Third
1414
#16
74.00.2
72.772.5
Auto11.3
Teleop39.8
End22.8
red by 7.4
5582
#35
66.50.9
64.363.4
Auto7.3
Teleop30.1
End29.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed