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Red281
381567.2
2974125.0
513277.7
Blue287
473051.6
4910100.7
445981.1
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3072190100400500281287

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125.01.6
131.7130.1
Auto14.9
Teleop52.5
End57.6
red by 24.2
4910
#10
100.74.5
95.7100.2
Auto10.6
Teleop48.8
End41.3
Second
5132
#38
77.71.6
79.377.7
Auto5.0
Teleop37.5
End35.3
blue by 3.4
4459
#32
81.14.5
76.681.1
Auto6.3
Teleop42.3
End32.6
Third
3815
#42
67.21.6
68.867.2
Auto11.9
Teleop36.9
End18.4
red by 15.6
4730
#29
51.64.5
47.151.6
Auto1.7
Teleop22.9
End27.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
3%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed