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Red158
141474.0
309166.7
358161.6
Blue235
533276.8
83294.0
241594.5
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2153040100400500158235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1414
#16
74.03.8
78.975.0
Auto11.3
Teleop39.8
End22.8
blue by 20.5
2415
#15
94.52.8
99.196.3
Auto9.5
Teleop52.3
End32.6
Second
3091
#34
66.73.8
71.467.5
Auto7.2
Teleop36.5
End23.1
blue by 27.3
832
#6
94.02.8
98.795.9
Auto10.0
Teleop38.9
End45.2
Third
3581
#37
61.63.8
65.461.6
Auto9.7
Teleop39.7
End12.2
blue by 15.2
5332
#22
76.82.8
79.676.8
Auto5.4
Teleop33.7
End37.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed2%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed