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Red270
131172.6
168389.1
241594.5
Blue240
582852.3
2974125.0
4188115.4
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2603090100200400500600270240

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2415
#15
94.50.9
97.296.3
Auto9.5
Teleop52.3
End32.6
blue by 30.5
125.03.5
129.5126.0
Auto14.9
Teleop52.5
End57.6
Second
1683
#23
89.10.9
91.590.6
Auto8.8
Teleop41.9
End38.4
blue by 26.3
115.43.5
118.6115.1
Auto8.4
Teleop55.5
End51.5
Third
1311
#28
72.60.9
64.763.8
Auto6.4
Teleop29.0
End37.2
red by 20.3
5828
#30
52.33.5
39.235.7
Auto9.0
Teleop30.9
End12.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed2%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed