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Red205
408093.1
3635112.7
2974125.0
Blue445
4188115.4
100290.6
411290.8
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions378312100200500600700205445

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125.03.0
128.0125.0
Auto14.9
Teleop52.5
End57.6
red by 9.6
115.40.9
117.7118.6
Auto8.4
Teleop55.5
End51.5
Second
112.73.0
115.7112.7
Auto7.9
Teleop50.6
End54.2
red by 22.0
4112
#20
90.80.9
93.194.0
Auto13.6
Teleop40.3
End36.9
Third
4080
#19
93.13.0
96.193.1
Auto11.5
Teleop37.3
End44.3
red by 2.5
90.60.9
92.993.8
Auto9.9
Teleop45.8
End34.9