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Red238
309156.7
491094.4
634096.4
Blue310
418893.7
1746103.4
617762.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2522740100200400500600700238310

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6340
#12
96.40.1
94.594.4
Auto8.2
Teleop46.3
End41.9
blue by 6.9
103.41.1
102.5103.6
Auto13.5
Teleop55.3
End34.6
Second
94.40.1
92.492.4
Auto8.6
Teleop41.4
End44.3
red by 0.6
4188
#17
93.71.1
92.994.0
Auto11.1
Teleop44.0
End38.6
Third
3091
#23
56.70.1
54.854.7
Auto5.6
Teleop29.4
End21.8
blue by 5.3
6177
#24
62.11.1
61.262.3
Auto8.6
Teleop30.8
End22.6