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Red203
358147.8
446895.5
381576.8
Blue260
402673.9
558270.9
141450.4
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions213138050100250300350400203260

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4468
#11
95.50.7
73.974.6
Auto10.1
Teleop46.4
End38.9
red by 21.5
4026
#15
73.97.9
59.066.9
Auto9.1
Teleop34.6
End30.3
Second
3815
#14
76.80.7
75.476.1
Auto9.1
Teleop35.6
End32.1
red by 5.9
5582
#16
70.97.9
51.859.7
Auto7.3
Teleop29.0
End34.5
Third
3581
#27
47.81.2
42.944.1
Auto6.4
Teleop33.5
End7.9
blue by 2.7
50.47.9
30.438.3
Auto10.9
Teleop25.6
End13.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed