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Red255
179554.4
634937.4
491094.4
Blue225
241598.2
470153.9
369437.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1641730100200300400500255225

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
94.46.5
80.987.5
Auto8.6
Teleop41.4
End44.3
blue by 3.8
2415
#18
98.22.4
96.498.8
Auto14.2
Teleop57.8
End26.1
Second
1795
#19
54.46.5
43.950.5
Auto4.9
Teleop36.9
End12.6
red by 0.5
4701
#25
53.92.4
34.937.3
Auto7.1
Teleop35.0
End11.8
Third
6349
#22
37.410.2
31.942.1
Auto7.2
Teleop22.0
End8.2
red by 0.1
3694
#31
37.43.8
32.135.9
Auto4.3
Teleop23.4
End9.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed