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Red150
241598.2
548237.9
326530.2
Blue225
418893.7
141450.4
451666.8
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17620750100150250300350400150225

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2415
#18
98.21.4
95.694.2
Auto14.2
Teleop57.8
End26.1
red by 4.4
4188
#17
93.71.9
84.682.8
Auto11.1
Teleop44.0
End38.6
Second
5482
#35
37.91.9
43.141.2
Auto5.3
Teleop22.5
End10.2
blue by 28.9
66.81.9
56.554.6
Auto6.6
Teleop38.6
End21.6
Third
3265
#21
30.21.4
32.731.3
Auto4.3
Teleop24.8
End1.1
blue by 20.2
50.41.9
51.749.8
Auto10.9
Teleop25.6
End13.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed