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Red166
590063.5
399863.7
634077.5
Blue125
131164.4
560878.3
510941.9
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19520104006008001,0001,2001,4001,600166125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6340
#11
77.50.5
70.169.6
Auto9.3
Teleop34.7
End33.5
blue by 0.9
78.31.4
79.878.3
Auto5.9
Teleop38.8
End33.6
Second
63.70.4
57.757.3
Auto9.3
Teleop36.6
End17.8
blue by 0.7
1311
#13
64.41.4
65.864.4
Auto6.4
Teleop28.5
End29.4
Third
5900
#19
63.50.4
57.557.1
Auto4.0
Teleop29.4
End30.1
red by 21.6
5109
#22
41.91.9
43.841.9
Auto7.0
Teleop29.6
End5.3