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Red135
671514.7
241599.0
334444.5
Blue235
83280.0
510941.9
590063.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1631520100200300400500600135235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
99.01.5
93.491.9
Auto12.5
Teleop49.6
End36.9
red by 19.1
832
#4
80.05.9
72.077.9
Auto4.6
Teleop35.4
End40.0
Second
3344
#21
44.51.2
41.540.3
Auto2.1
Teleop24.2
End18.2
blue by 19.1
5900
#19
63.55.9
46.852.7
Auto4.0
Teleop29.4
End30.1
Third
6715
#35
14.71.9
18.716.8
Auto3.2
Teleop17.9
End-6.4
blue by 27.2
5109
#22
41.99.9
27.437.3
Auto7.0
Teleop29.6
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed