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Red235
451645.3
474955.5
241599.0
Blue90
332937.8
399863.7
408047.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15315110020025023590

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
99.09.8
63.072.7
Auto12.5
Teleop49.6
End36.9
red by 35.3
63.74.6
49.845.2
Auto9.3
Teleop36.6
End17.8
Second
55.57.8
34.542.3
Auto5.4
Teleop36.0
End14.0
red by 8.3
4080
#15
47.26.3
47.741.4
Auto1.4
Teleop33.4
End12.4
Third
4516
#12
45.39.8
44.754.4
Auto3.2
Teleop37.3
End4.7
red by 7.5
3329
#26
37.86.3
49.443.1
Auto4.3
Teleop28.9
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed