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Red255
83258.1
164875.5
174687.5
Blue155
411268.2
670578.0
402659.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions232220100300400500255155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1746
#15
87.51.0
86.587.5
Auto11.1
Teleop54.8
End21.6
red by 9.5
78.01.6
79.678.0
Auto6.4
Teleop41.5
End30.1
Second
75.51.0
74.575.5
Auto8.6
Teleop33.0
End33.8
red by 7.3
4112
#10
68.21.5
69.768.2
Auto9.7
Teleop40.1
End18.4
Third
832
#34
58.11.1
57.158.1
Auto3.2
Teleop25.9
End29.1
blue by 1.0
4026
#17
59.21.5
60.759.2
Auto8.8
Teleop32.1
End18.3