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Red235
632523.2
494189.5
418889.0
Blue185
174687.5
164875.5
83258.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2151970100300400500600700800235185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
89.50.9
89.490.3
Auto2.3
Teleop46.6
End40.6
red by 2.0
1746
#15
87.50.1
77.277.0
Auto11.1
Teleop54.8
End21.6
Second
89.01.0
88.989.9
Auto12.1
Teleop42.7
End34.2
red by 13.5
75.50.1
65.165.0
Auto8.6
Teleop33.0
End33.8
Third
6325
#32
23.20.9
23.224.1
Auto5.5
Teleop19.0
End-1.3
blue by 34.9
832
#34
58.10.1
46.946.7
Auto3.2
Teleop25.9
End29.1