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Red285
131146.1
529392.7
100273.3
Blue255
411268.2
670578.0
402659.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2171980100300400500600285255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
92.72.4
89.592.0
Auto7.5
Teleop36.5
End48.7
red by 14.7
78.01.9
72.774.6
Auto6.4
Teleop41.5
End30.1
Second
73.32.4
70.172.6
Auto8.2
Teleop42.1
End23.0
red by 5.1
4112
#10
68.21.8
63.365.1
Auto9.7
Teleop40.1
End18.4
Third
1311
#36
46.12.2
43.245.4
Auto7.7
Teleop27.4
End11.0
blue by 13.1
4026
#17
59.21.8
54.356.1
Auto8.8
Teleop32.1
End18.3