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Red495
2415103.6
1002104.2
174693.8
Blue305
491098.9
533268.5
632590.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3622620100200300400500600700495305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
104.21.6
102.6104.2
Auto10.1
Teleop46.9
End47.2
red by 5.3
98.91.1
97.798.9
Auto7.7
Teleop49.5
End41.7
Second
2415
#11
103.61.6
102.0103.6
Auto7.3
Teleop49.3
End47.0
red by 13.2
90.41.1
89.390.4
Auto15.0
Teleop43.9
End31.6
Third
93.81.6
92.193.8
Auto18.3
Teleop48.6
End27.0
red by 25.3
68.51.1
67.468.5
Auto1.4
Teleop31.0
End36.0