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Red300
297486.9
381552.5
418889.1
Blue205
83288.9
491098.9
126148.8
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions291256100200400300205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
89.10.2
100.2100.4
Auto9.4
Teleop50.1
End29.6
blue by 9.7
98.92.8
89.486.5
Auto7.7
Teleop49.5
End41.7
Second
2974
#13
86.90.2
104.5104.7
Auto6.5
Teleop43.7
End36.6
blue by 2.0
832
#23
88.92.8
101.098.2
Auto10.6
Teleop36.0
End42.3
Third
3815
#25
52.50.2
67.267.4
Auto8.9
Teleop35.5
End8.1
red by 3.7
1261
#22
48.82.8
57.254.4
Auto11.8
Teleop33.6
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
32%Rotor oddsMissed6%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed