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Red180
83288.9
141491.1
548267.7
Blue230
632590.4
131152.4
411299.7
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27524350100150200300350180230

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1414
#17
91.15.2
93.488.2
Auto9.9
Teleop46.7
End34.5
blue by 8.6
4112
#15
99.72.0
96.194.1
Auto11.7
Teleop43.8
End44.2
Second
832
#23
88.95.2
96.791.5
Auto10.6
Teleop36.0
End42.3
blue by 1.5
90.42.0
72.971.0
Auto15.0
Teleop43.9
End31.6
Third
67.75.2
67.562.3
Auto5.1
Teleop34.4
End28.2
red by 15.3
1311
#10
52.42.0
65.763.7
Auto6.3
Teleop29.0
End17.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
4%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed