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Red150
141491.1
126148.8
381552.5
Blue240
560876.3
548267.7
529384.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19725304006008001,0001,200150240

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1414
#17
91.13.0
85.782.7
Auto9.9
Teleop46.7
End34.5
red by 6.9
5293
#16
84.20.1
90.790.8
Auto5.5
Teleop39.5
End39.2
Second
3815
#25
52.53.0
60.057.1
Auto8.9
Teleop35.5
End8.1
blue by 23.8
5608
#14
76.30.1
80.780.8
Auto8.3
Teleop39.0
End29.0
Third
1261
#22
48.83.0
48.645.6
Auto11.8
Teleop33.6
End3.4
blue by 18.9
67.70.1
62.362.4
Auto5.1
Teleop34.4
End28.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
2%Rotor oddsMissed2%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed