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Red199
131152.4
83288.9
2415103.6
Blue173
533268.5
174693.8
670585.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions272267200250300350199173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2415
#11
103.63.6
103.399.8
Auto7.3
Teleop49.3
End47.0
red by 9.8
93.87.4
100.893.4
Auto18.3
Teleop48.6
End27.0
Second
832
#23
88.93.6
91.587.9
Auto10.6
Teleop36.0
End42.3
red by 3.8
6705
#20
85.07.4
92.484.9
Auto6.0
Teleop43.8
End35.2
Third
1311
#10
52.43.6
58.054.4
Auto6.3
Teleop29.0
End17.1
blue by 16.1
68.57.4
66.258.8
Auto1.4
Teleop31.0
End36.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
4%Rotor oddsMissed10%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed