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Red100
510965.4
450936.1
164870.7
Blue210
381552.5
533268.5
529384.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1772150400600800100210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1648
#19
70.74.9
78.473.5
Auto6.8
Teleop39.3
End24.6
blue by 13.5
5293
#16
84.21.0
86.785.7
Auto5.5
Teleop39.5
End39.2
Second
5109
#28
65.44.9
62.357.5
Auto10.4
Teleop33.8
End21.1
blue by 3.1
68.51.0
58.857.8
Auto1.4
Teleop31.0
End36.0
Third
4509
#24
36.14.9
32.227.3
Auto2.9
Teleop18.5
End14.8
blue by 16.4
3815
#25
52.51.0
54.053.0
Auto8.9
Teleop35.5
End8.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
2%Rotor oddsMissed2%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed