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Red310
257683.9
1538118.0
492117.3
Blue445
2415109.3
5654111.8
263088.8
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38433102006008001,000310445

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118.00.2
118.5118.2
Auto19.8
Teleop51.3
End46.9
red by 6.2
111.80.8
111.1111.9
Auto12.6
Teleop45.3
End53.9
Second
492
#1
117.30.2
117.7117.5
Auto12.4
Teleop55.1
End49.8
red by 8.0
2415
#18
109.30.8
108.6109.4
Auto10.7
Teleop54.9
End43.7
Third
2576
#53
83.90.2
84.484.1
Auto5.9
Teleop39.0
End39.1
blue by 4.9
2630
#46
88.80.8
88.189.0
Auto7.1
Teleop46.2
End35.6