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Red310
436463.5
396678.6
5654111.8
Blue305
181779.3
4499116.1
498114.6
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2363070100200400500600310305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111.84.8
107.5112.3
Auto12.6
Teleop45.3
End53.9
blue by 4.3
4499
#12
116.11.5
103.9105.5
Auto14.3
Teleop51.9
End50.0
Second
3966
#50
78.64.8
82.387.0
Auto9.0
Teleop38.4
End31.2
blue by 36.0
498
#3
114.61.5
96.197.6
Auto13.9
Teleop53.0
End47.8
Third
4364
#41
63.54.8
43.748.5
Auto11.0
Teleop36.8
End15.7
blue by 15.7
1817
#64
79.31.5
82.183.7
Auto6.8
Teleop38.5
End34.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed2%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed