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Red236
233390.2
541481.4
492117.3
Blue235
2415109.3
396678.6
257683.9
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions319262100200400500236235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
492
#1
117.34.0
106.9102.9
Auto12.4
Teleop55.1
End49.8
red by 8.0
2415
#18
109.31.4
96.695.1
Auto10.7
Teleop54.9
End43.7
Second
90.24.0
104.7100.7
Auto8.1
Teleop46.8
End35.2
red by 6.2
2576
#53
83.91.4
76.074.6
Auto5.9
Teleop39.0
End39.1
Third
5414
#44
81.44.0
84.480.4
Auto8.5
Teleop40.9
End32.0
red by 2.8
3966
#50
78.61.4
84.182.7
Auto9.0
Teleop38.4
End31.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
10%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed