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Red290
36883.3
451693.1
619156.4
Blue213
665831.4
3211101.4
635775.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2271970100300400500290213

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
93.15.2
81.686.8
Auto9.2
Teleop45.4
End38.5
blue by 8.3
3211
#33
101.40.2
100.9100.7
Auto10.0
Teleop46.5
End44.8
Second
368
#31
83.35.2
84.789.9
Auto11.4
Teleop37.1
End34.8
red by 8.1
6357
#34
75.20.2
64.063.8
Auto8.1
Teleop35.8
End31.3
Third
6191
#51
56.45.2
45.550.7
Auto6.3
Teleop29.3
End20.8
red by 25.0
6658
#67
31.40.2
26.025.8
Auto6.4
Teleop25.1
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed