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Red225
263088.8
181779.3
453481.4
Blue305
433580.6
304574.6
701105.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions260252100150200300350400225305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2630
#46
88.81.4
84.683.2
Auto7.1
Teleop46.2
End35.6
blue by 16.2
701
#13
105.04.3
103.5107.8
Auto12.9
Teleop50.8
End41.4
Second
4534
#63
81.41.4
80.078.5
Auto6.5
Teleop44.9
End29.9
red by 0.7
4335
#29
80.64.3
76.981.2
Auto7.3
Teleop37.0
End36.3
Third
1817
#64
79.31.4
81.880.4
Auto6.8
Teleop38.5
End34.0
red by 4.6
3045
#24
74.64.3
59.964.2
Auto10.1
Teleop31.5
End33.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed