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Red343
606175.5
192107.7
433580.6
Blue312
257683.9
4499116.1
617183.8
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions272276200250300350343312

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
192
#15
107.70.4
106.0106.4
Auto11.0
Teleop43.1
End53.6
blue by 8.4
4499
#12
116.13.2
109.2112.4
Auto14.3
Teleop51.9
End50.0
Second
4335
#29
80.60.4
82.282.6
Auto7.3
Teleop37.0
End36.3
blue by 3.3
2576
#53
83.93.2
71.975.1
Auto5.9
Teleop39.0
End39.1
Third
6061
#43
75.50.4
74.574.8
Auto11.4
Teleop27.9
End36.2
blue by 8.3
6171
#62
83.83.2
77.280.5
Auto12.2
Teleop43.1
End28.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed