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Red205
420190.5
453481.4
665831.4
Blue280
507499.8
510977.0
541158.9
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions208243100300400500205280

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4201
#65
90.50.2
90.490.6
Auto9.4
Teleop43.0
End38.1
blue by 9.3
5074
#17
99.81.9
91.593.4
Auto12.1
Teleop50.3
End37.4
Second
4534
#63
81.40.2
79.879.9
Auto6.5
Teleop44.9
End29.9
red by 4.4
5109
#39
77.01.9
80.482.3
Auto8.0
Teleop37.7
End31.3
Third
6658
#67
31.40.2
31.932.1
Auto6.4
Teleop25.1
End-0.1
blue by 27.5
5411
#57
58.91.9
54.756.6
Auto9.2
Teleop32.8
End16.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed3%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed