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Red274
490479.7
569667.6
3478107.9
Blue376
3635113.0
492117.3
1538118.0
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2483660100200300400500600274376

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3478
#14
107.91.5
111.8113.3
Auto18.4
Teleop54.3
End35.3
blue by 10.1
118.01.2
108.8110.0
Auto19.8
Teleop51.3
End46.9
Second
4904
#36
79.71.5
75.977.4
Auto10.3
Teleop40.2
End29.2
blue by 37.6
492
#1
117.31.2
109.3110.5
Auto12.4
Teleop55.1
End49.8
Third
5696
#61
67.61.5
63.565.0
Auto2.8
Teleop34.6
End30.2
blue by 45.4
3635
#32
113.01.2
114.6115.8
Auto5.3
Teleop50.2
End57.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed44%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
3%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed