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Red513
257683.9
1538118.0
492117.3
Blue280
3211101.4
507499.8
2231102.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37932905001,0001,500513280

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118.00.8
116.9117.7
Auto19.8
Teleop51.3
End46.9
red by 15.6
102.41.2
104.1102.9
Auto9.3
Teleop44.2
End49.0
Second
492
#1
117.30.8
116.2117.0
Auto12.4
Teleop55.1
End49.8
red by 15.9
3211
#33
101.41.2
103.1101.9
Auto10.0
Teleop46.5
End44.8
Third
2576
#53
83.90.8
82.883.7
Auto5.9
Teleop39.0
End39.1
blue by 15.9
5074
#17
99.81.2
101.099.8
Auto12.1
Teleop50.3
End37.4