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Red262
192107.7
498114.6
36883.3
Blue420
2415109.3
5654111.8
263088.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3273460100200400500600700262420

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
498
#3
114.61.0
115.7114.6
Auto13.9
Teleop53.0
End47.8
red by 2.8
111.80.4
112.8112.4
Auto12.6
Teleop45.3
End53.9
Second
192
#15
107.71.0
108.8107.7
Auto11.0
Teleop43.1
End53.6
blue by 1.6
2415
#18
109.30.4
110.3109.9
Auto10.7
Teleop54.9
End43.7
Third
368
#31
83.31.0
84.383.3
Auto11.4
Teleop37.1
End34.8
blue by 5.6
2630
#46
88.80.4
89.889.4
Auto7.1
Teleop46.2
End35.6