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Red255
125098.6
2832107.3
70385.8
Blue306
5509116.5
508693.5
3770111.7
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29443802006008001,0001,200255306

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
107.30.0
107.3107.3
Auto14.5
Teleop46.9
End45.9
blue by 9.1
116.50.0
116.5116.5
Auto11.6
Teleop57.7
End47.2
Second
1250
#25
98.60.0
98.698.6
Auto9.8
Teleop40.1
End48.7
blue by 13.1
3770
#26
111.70.0
111.7111.7
Auto12.2
Teleop53.4
End46.1
Third
703
#22
85.80.0
85.885.8
Auto12.6
Teleop34.4
End38.8
blue by 7.7
93.50.0
93.593.5
Auto13.3
Teleop43.7
End36.6