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Red305
520372.5
6753114.9
519394.9
Blue269
946039.9
5460105.9
83097.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31724802004006008001,000305269

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
114.90.0
114.9114.9
Auto11.3
Teleop53.7
End49.9
red by 9.0
105.90.0
105.9105.9
Auto14.9
Teleop50.7
End40.3
Second
5193
#10
94.90.0
94.994.9
Auto10.2
Teleop48.3
End36.4
blue by 2.7
830
#19
97.60.0
97.697.6
Auto13.8
Teleop47.6
End36.2
Third
5203
#15
72.50.0
72.572.5
Auto9.8
Teleop37.7
End24.9
red by 32.6
9460
#13
39.90.0
39.939.9
Auto4.4
Teleop21.7
End13.8