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Red310
607370.9
2832107.3
525768.2
Blue250
70385.8
516699.2
619394.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25330104006008001,0001,2001,400310250

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
107.30.0
107.3107.3
Auto14.5
Teleop46.9
End45.9
red by 8.2
5166
#23
99.20.0
99.299.2
Auto11.9
Teleop42.9
End44.3
Second
6073
#14
70.90.0
70.970.9
Auto7.5
Teleop37.4
End26.0
blue by 23.8
94.60.0
94.694.6
Auto10.3
Teleop42.1
End42.2
Third
5257
#24
68.20.0
68.268.2
Auto10.3
Teleop29.5
End28.5
blue by 17.6
703
#22
85.80.0
85.885.8
Auto12.6
Teleop34.4
End38.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
4%Rotor odds2%Rotor odds
Pressure
1%Pressure odds1%Pressure odds