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Red179
520372.5
525768.2
1684101.3
Blue260
2832107.3
571280.5
983239.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2572370100200300400500600700179260

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
101.30.0
101.3101.3
Auto11.7
Teleop49.6
End40.0
blue by 6.0
107.30.0
107.3107.3
Auto14.5
Teleop46.9
End45.9
Second
5203
#15
72.50.0
72.572.5
Auto9.8
Teleop37.7
End24.9
blue by 8.0
5712
#11
80.50.0
80.580.5
Auto10.5
Teleop43.1
End26.9
Third
5257
#24
68.20.0
68.268.2
Auto10.3
Teleop29.5
End28.5
red by 28.3
9832
#16
39.90.0
39.939.9
Auto4.4
Teleop21.7
End13.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
5%Rotor odds4%Rotor odds
Pressure
0%Pressure odds1%Pressure odds