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Red170
542465.3
520372.5
607189.1
Blue190
607370.9
619394.6
5509116.5
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22830704006008001,0001,2001,400170190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
89.10.0
89.189.1
Auto8.9
Teleop34.5
End45.8
blue by 27.4
116.50.0
116.5116.5
Auto11.6
Teleop57.7
End47.2
Second
5203
#15
72.50.0
72.572.5
Auto9.8
Teleop37.7
End24.9
blue by 22.1
94.60.0
94.694.6
Auto10.3
Teleop42.1
End42.2
Third
5424
#29
65.30.0
65.365.3
Auto4.3
Teleop26.8
End34.2
blue by 5.6
6073
#14
70.90.0
70.970.9
Auto7.5
Teleop37.4
End26.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor odds17%Rotor odds
Pressure
0%Pressure odds0%Pressure odds