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Red285
551659.9
583987.8
644145.8
Blue297
188482.6
461395.5
636142.6
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18923550100150300350400285297

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
87.82.7
85.187.8
Auto10.3
Teleop41.4
End36.2
blue by 7.8
95.51.5
94.095.5
Auto19.4
Teleop47.2
End29.0
Second
5516
#21
59.92.7
57.259.9
Auto4.1
Teleop28.8
End26.9
blue by 22.8
82.61.5
81.182.6
Auto11.2
Teleop43.9
End27.6
Third
6441
#13
45.82.7
43.045.8
Auto8.6
Teleop41.8
End-4.6
red by 3.2
6361
#32
42.61.5
41.142.6
Auto6.4
Teleop26.5
End9.7