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Red174
643339.8
637647.2
461395.5
Blue205
636142.6
188482.6
676660.9
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions155117050100200250300350174205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
95.51.8
68.470.2
Auto19.4
Teleop47.2
End29.0
red by 12.9
82.69.8
43.353.2
Auto11.2
Teleop43.9
End27.6
Second
6376
#24
47.21.8
38.940.7
Auto9.9
Teleop30.3
End7.1
blue by 13.7
6766
#15
60.99.8
36.045.9
Auto9.9
Teleop30.7
End20.4
Third
6433
#26
39.81.8
35.137.0
Auto7.5
Teleop27.7
End4.7
blue by 2.8
6361
#32
42.69.8
37.247.0
Auto6.4
Teleop26.5
End9.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed